The revolution is just getting started and
will begin to make its mark this year. By 2010, it will begin to take
off. By 2025, it will be the standard for all TV viewing. It's called
Internet Protocol Television, or IPTV for short. IPTV works with a
set-top box connected to any broadband interface and to a TV. It will
allow users to choose among thousands (and eventually hundreds of
thousands) of hours of programming, including movies, sports, classic
TV, etc., and download their selections from the internet to the hard
drive of the set-top box. Initially, set-top box hard drives will be
able to store up to 300 hours of programming at a time, but capacity
will expand as the technology becomes more refined. Also, download
times will become shorter and shorter as broadband connection speeds
become faster and faster. Eventually, a two-hour movie will be fully
downloadable in a couple of minutes. Once the programs are downloaded
to the hard drive, they can be viewed on the connected TV at any time
via a DVR-type interface provided by the set-top box.
Besides the convenience of an all video-on-demand (VOD) environment,
IPTV will provide a much wider range of programming than broadcast,
cable, and satellite TV, or even major video chains, could ever
provide. Because the programming is available from the internet, it
will be almost completely unlimited and unconstrained. Programming from
all over the world will be available along with every imaginable genre
of niche programming. Also, previously unreleased independent films
that have been sitting on shelves for years due to the lack of a
distribution source will suddenly become available to the masses via
IPTV. Films that previously could not be made at all will become a
reality and be available on the IPTV services. Long forgotten films and
TV shows will have new life breathed into them by IPTV. To top it all
off, much of this programming will be eventually be available in high
definition (HDTV)!
Most IPTV platforms will be divided into "channels", but not the same
kind of channels that we have grown accustomed to with traditional TV
services. In this case, a "channel" is defined as a division of an IPTV
service by individual content provider. Each content provider carried
by a given IPTV platform will have its own guidelines for delivering
programming on its channel. Some will provide their content for free to
everyone who owns a given IPTV product. Some will be subscription
based, i.e., everything on their channels will be available for a
monthly or annual subscription. Others will be all pay-per-view. Still
others will provide a combination of all of the above.
Several entrants into this market have either already debuted or plan to debut sometime this year. Among those are Akimbo (www.akimbo.com), DAVETV (www.dave.tv), TimeShifTV (www.timeshiftv.com), and VCinema (www.vcinema.com).
Please see their respective websites for more details, as each one will
offer a slightly different variation of IPTV technology. In addition, a
joint venture between TiVo (www.tivo.com) and NetFlix (www.netflix.com)
will be starting up later this year. TiVo plans to eventually make the
entire Netflix DVD library available to its customers on an on-demand
basis via a broadband connection to a TiVo box and a TV. Other
potential IPTV contenders will be announcing their intentions over the
next year or two. One of these nascent IPTV services headquartered near
my home has already started placing "help wanted" ads in my local
newspaper.
Within the next 20 years, all the fuss over broadcast TV indecency will
become irrelevant, as there will be very little other than news and
live sporting events on broadcast TV. The major networks will shift
most of their entertainment programs to IPTV to avoid all the broadcast
content restrictions currently being enforced by the FCC. Eventually,
broadcast TV will cease to exist. Cable and satellite services as we
know them will also become extinct. Yes, there will still be cable and
satellite platforms, but they, along with DSL and wireless internet
services, will exist merely as conduits for bringing broadband internet
into homes and offices. There won't be any more cable and satellite TV,
per se. The now 60-year-old paradigm of television schedules in which
programs air at specific times on specific days of the week will pretty
much be a thing of the past. Everything, except what's left of
broadcast TV, will be exclusively available on demand via an IPTV
platform.
These developments in no way mean that all TV programming will become
more risqué. While there will be plenty of risqué programming available
to those who want it, there will an almost unlimited supply of family
and religious programs available. With a veritable smorgasbord of
entertainment options at your fingertips, there will be something
available for all tastes. IPTV may not turn out to be a TV utopia, but
it's at least going to come close that ideal.
About The Author
Terry Mitchell is a software engineer from Hopewell, VA. He operates a website, commenterry.com,
on which he posts commentaries on various subjects such as politics,
technology, religion, health and well-being, personal finance, and
sports. His commentaries offer a unique point of view that is not often
found in meanstream media. He rarely misses an opportunity to assail
political correctness and take pot shots at the conventional
foolishness. Mr. Mitchell is also a trivia buff.